Results tagged “Watchlist” from My Trading Diary
Global Industries Ltd - meets criteria - 30.10.8 an historical low - price does not always range. 30.10 was also the result of a price plummet so there could now be a process of retracing that. Buy up to $3.10 but look for opportunities to buy lower. Bought and stop lossed out. Lost £100. Price subsequently rose and made my PR within the hour! Did I enter my SL based on support? I also bought above my PR - this occurred due to unreliable blog connection. Will look for alternative ways of logging my trades. Price rose all day but because started above my PR I did not participate. Pleased at least I predicted two out of three the issue is entry and exits.
Kendle International - meets criteria - trading at all time lows. Buy up to $21.40. Bit trap-door currently with spread. Bought twice and lost twice - my losing trend continues - one which relates to the NASDAQ. It may have certain advantages over LSE but if I cannot read it I will not prevail with it.
Canadian Solar - appeared to be trading before the bell - to do with time-zone?! Gapped up. All of my PR gone - ignore.
Super Micro Computers - meets most criteria - recent all time price low - and crossing of stochastic. Underbought and undervlaued. Can range on the day. One reservation is that yesterday's high was above the high of the previous three days high. Also gapped up overnight and not retrace so due a reversal?...Buy up to $6.40 - could this be like yesterday where I missed the boat and price continues to rise? Watch and learn! Bought and lost - again stop loss triggered - I think too tight and will vary now based on recent volatility.
ParkerVision - share tends to move more sedately but PR's are there. Buy up to $4. Ended at $5 - 25% - I would have made £1750! At least I can pick them :)
Security Bank - meets criteria - can range - volatile too Buy up to $2.45. This share plunged to $1.80 - had I chosen this my stop loss might not have been filled at the level stated and I could have been left holding a share that lost 25% of its value and cost me on a £7K trade £1.75K. Should I trade smaller amounts. Would generate more commission costs though not more PR as it would be shared around - in fact smaller PR requirement. Will add this to my Task list for further thought. Bought at £2.07 but took no account of wide spread which is likely to trigger my stop-loss. Third loss of the day. Very poor.
Kforce - meets criteria. Buy up to $7.70 above yesterdays closing as feel this share as legs. First choice. Bought at 7.71 and almost immediately triggered stop loss - admittedly very tight.
Three of my four shares have risen which vindicates my predictions but I did not capitalize on any due to all having more sellers than buyers in the order book. This gives me serious reservations about the usefulness of access to the order book. Suggests some orders may be spoof to put off buyers and other way about. If price continues to rise in face of sell pressure then ignore it? But then how to know when to get out? End up just following the price! Less likely to be spoof nearer the touching price as would get hit. I may test this out.
Stop losses though I want to reduce them this does increase incidence of them - I think they should be tight but flexible - a share that is more volatile should have a wider stop loss, less volatile can have tighter. Will implement this.
My worst ever day trading - lost about £370. Nevertheless due to misleading Feed - had I gone by price I could have made over £1000. Need to revisit use of Feeds - it could be this particular feed or feeds in general.
Perhaps I will work without feeds too - in terms of entry can always make that based on price - stop losses will be in place - and in terms of profitable exits mental trailing stops.
Insight Enterprises - meets criteria, trading at historical lows. Price has tended to rise recently rather than undulate. Would buy up to $9.10 - close to end of day price but price was trending through it. 3Q earnings due 6.11. Bought at $9.10. Stop loss triggered. Bought again at $8.67 and made good the loss plus a small profit.
DSP Group - another share trading close to historical lows. Usually scopes across the day. Buy up to $5.50. Not much action in the queue - is this due to the feed I am now using? Q3 report released today which beats estimates. Should make this bullish but might need to be in at the bell for that? Learning! Another forecaster expressed negative sentiment towards their future. Price has currently gone beyond my price range. Vindication but means I have missed the boat? Could reverse. Price continued on towards 25% increase! Though I missed out on this I could still have made my PR at any time subsequent - but was that the benefit of hindsight or should I have paid more attention to the buy sell dynamics? Just because I missed a buy level does not mean the price may not go even higher - does not mean it will either but can watch buy sell pressure to gauge this.
Both these shares finished the day about 5% up.
Rent-A-Center - another share trading at historical lows. Ended up 10% yesterday. Seems seriously undervalued. If retraces many dollars to be made! Price doesn't always scope but due to huge scope down it may continue to scope until returned to usual trading levels. Disappointing Q4 forecasts have contributed to this fall. Buy up to $14. Directionless most of the day but did trend up in the afternoon - could have realized my PR. Lesson is not to dismiss a directionless share in the morning - if it continues like this in the afternoon then remove from watchlist.
Currently experimenting with a tighter stop loss to increase risk-reward ratio - at current settings 1 profit would equal 3 stop losses which is very good but obviously not if they keep getting triggered reducing the amount of profit stocks. Noise for example could impact at this level. Will test it though. Can adjust accordingly. Another option is a 1:2. First one got hit quickly!
Future will look to additional shares if shortlisted ones move against me. May also assess whilst market in place to target shares that meet my requirements and continuing it into the trading day.
Two shares I chose realized my PR requirement - one though in a way I was not able to capitalise on, another I need to pay more sustained attention to into the afternoon yet the one that did not was the one I bought. I need to think further about my final trigger decisions. The buy and sell pressure itself is not entirely reliable - or is it?! - do I need to read it better or is it more about working with pre-identified buy levels and only making the final decision when the buy pressure is significantly ahead of the sell pressure? But I have just indicated that is unreliable - is it unreliable though? - I need to assess this more critically.
Citizens First Bancorp - Share finished down on the day but did reach a high above the previous day high. I would have considered £3.20 a possible buy point. And based on that I would not have bought because the price continued its rise then steadied and dramatically dropped in the closing 30 minutes. Difficulties following this though due to no access to Level II data and Intraday charts proving unreliable.
Cleveland BioLabs - last two days share has ranged - not always a characteristic. Crossed back the stochastic. 28.10 price rose all day. Buy up to £3.20. Price dropped back to £3.00 as of 12.41 US time. A spread of 44 cents! Would need to pay 3.44 to guarantee sale and that is above price range. Watch for learning. Also after $3.00 next bid is $2.84 - is this an aspect of this particular share, of NASDAQ or Total View? Liquidity is low - no transactions in over an hour. Spread is now increasing. How (un)manageable are wide spreads? Buy and sell is about equal currently. A buy order at $2.84 could drop the price - buy opportunity at that level? News item implying share price irregular and may be removed to a lower market listing! Would have taken 3% but price movement and volume offputting. The price increase yesterday was 56% (!) so less likely to have legs for the following day. Better to ignore share in that range. What range then? Trial and error. Will choose those with 10% yields and adjust by experience.
Steven Madden - meets criteria and price has been resolutely upward! Even buying later in the day would have met my PR. However I am making no purchases today as missed most of trading day due to feed access issues. Would I have bought at the level though - had I opted for a lower price entry I would not have made the trade because it has trended above it. With this trade though I could also say because it's price increase as been upward with no significant undulation I would have bought up to $19.50 and thus entered at $19.25 requiring £19.75 to meet PR. Price is now at $20.50 :) However I am not going to add this to my watch account because the day's price could have influenced my buying decision level. Buy price at $20.15 - with a mental trailing stop I could have got out about $21.50 and made nearly 7% or £490 :)
Citizens First Bancorp Inc - my first US share so I need to be mindful of different dynamics and my lesser knowledge of US companies compared with UK companies. Share is under-bought but there is downside as well as upside on current prices. Buy up to £3.20? Won't make any decision until/unless I have access to a US Level II feed. Not able to complete process due to provided feed not fully displaying data.
Electra Private Equity - historical price low 22.10, stochastic followed and price rise today 23.10. Price can be quite stable over a day but since its sell off price more range. Steady climb today. No recent gapping. Could it continue that climb tomorrow? All buyers in the queue, not a single seller! Closing price was £9.90 whereas prices prior were up to £9.60. At £9.90 not convinced this share has much legs left at this time. Seems buyers are willing to increase their offers to attract sellers. Will watch for learning. If buy only up to £9.70. Equity Investment Instruments.
Legal & General - the share I lost £170 on Wednesday on! Crossed a stochastic today. Made steady progress this afternoon having plunged in the morning. Loss before was because I bought too high. If buy here up to 68p. Some big buyers in mid-sixties, no sellers after mid-seventies. Share price tends to move slowly.
Euromoney Institutional Investor - another share trading at all time lows. Stochastic today though lower down -upward movement, reverse may still be a few days away. Movement over a day can be small but last three have seen greater movement due to selling, buying to counter this could also scope. No sellers in the queue and buyers up to £2.39. Buy up to £2.44. Media. Bought at about £2.30 - very little volume. Will hold over weekend as only open position. Price closed at £2.30 with no buyers in the queue.
Bellway - crossed a stochastic but been doing that a lot recently. Near historic lows. Does tend to trade solidly either up or down over the course of a day. Buy pressure in queue. Buy up to £4.50. Household Goods.
The Restaurant Group - all time low price recently, recent stochastic. Buy/sell pressure even. Buy up to £1.12. (Too cautious?). Travel & Leisure.
Legal & General Group - another all time low price. Stochastic cross. Can gap overnight. Buy pressure in queue - sells are not realistic. Could be an early morning surge if no overnight upward price movement. Buy up to 68p - again too cautious? Price has passed point at which I could buy. Wait for it to fall? With no immediate sellers offers will go up but will there be takers - how many people have shares to sell at this level that would make profit? Based on recent levels will buy up to 75p. Life Insurance.
Bovis Homes - all time low 20.10. Stochastic crossed and scopes on the day. Buy up to £3.10. First choice. Household Goods.
Prudential - did not gap overnight and price remains within my range - currently sell pressure though. Bought and rose quickly but then equally fell again quickly - decided to pocket my profits as not taken any so far this week! I was only about .5% off my PR. Price actually turned around slightly but think it is better to take some profit then wait for such a chance and risk losing more/all profits.
John Wood Group - gapped overnight realizing my PR. Passed my buy-point. Buy was up to £2.20 and now £2.40. Still possible - watch. Currently sell pressure.
Charter - made 10% in first hour. An argument for being up at the bell? Now at £4.10 above my buy price of £3.80. MIssed the boat? Still buy pressure though. Still following its upward trend though but may have it its ceiling at this price level more attractive to sellers. Even here though it is below historical lows. Continue to watch. Also in terms of my minimum requirements only now need one third PR. Price slumped and stopped out. Had I bought at the opening I could have made up to 14%! I need to give myself the first few hours of the trading day to give myself more opportunities. For the first time I re-bought a share the same day and made the reduced make-good PR! Meant that I am £18 up on the day - better than being down!
This is my first loss on the day since 1.10 which is pretty excellent if I say so myself and should not give myself too much cause for alarm at this stage. Because of a subsequent re-buy and re-sell of Charter I have changed a loss into a neutral :)
Nevertheless I paid the price literally for buying over my set level. And I had an opportunity to buy under my set level early in the morning which had I taken I would have paid myself for the week. Live and learn :)
Prudential - some fundamentals bounce but also like the TA too. 17.10.8 was also a price low - quite a lot of that at the moment. Very rangey so PR potential - also crossed a stochastic and already the biggest price riser 20.10! Huge buy pressure in queue too - most sells can be discounted too as from previous higher times. Difficult to judge buy upper limit even at £3.40 PR quite achievable. Closing price today was distorted by lack of sellers - buy price otherwise at £3.20. I anticipate buying of this stock overnight and price gapped up to £3.60. Would usually cause me to back off but feel this share has more miles to run. Life Insurance sector.
John Wood Group - all time low 17.10.8. Stochastic crossed. Rangey last 5 days. Price can be quite sedate then rise sharply - but also decline as fast! Buy pressure in queue. Buy up to £2.20. Oil equipment and services sector.
Charter - another share all time low 17.10.8! Usually not much scope intraday but there is currently as it seems to be making good its price loss in steady fashion. Price trended up most of last two trading days and plenty in queue waiting to buy. Buy up to £3.80. Industrial engineering sector.
Price gapped over night (weekend) by 10p. Planning to buy up to £1.20's and now in £1.30's. So my PR was achieved but not in a way that I can participate in. Watch to see if price is retraced. Would then need to bounce from that and I would be doubtful. Watch.
Price declined a bit but overall rose and would have realized a second PR opportunity. Noted price remained steady or rose despite mainly sell pressure. I wonder if this is an indicator of off-book activity? Could be a buy opportunity - if price rises despite sell pressure...coupled with how market-makers position their buy and sell prices.
PV Crystalox Solar - meets all criteria. Can gap overnight. Crossed stochastic a number of times recently. Trading at historical lows. Only a few months ago it was trading at historical highs! Pressure in queue toward buy. Queue could push price up early and then price falls over course of day. Could wait till that calms down and see if returns to my price point - could try and get on the price early on but get stopped out quickly. Don't rate my ability to read the opening of markets. Will watch to learn. Buy up to mid 120's.
QinetiQ Group - an interesting stock for me as price seems to zigzag often - certainly for the last week- and a number of those up swings present PR opportunities. Difficult to read which blue signals are PR and which are temporary blip. Not if choose a buy point? Another share 16.10 reached its historical low. Share gapped up twice overnight in last week. Buy up to £1.66. Meets criteria but is volatile. Is price retracing overnight gaps or is price too oversold now for that to be realized? Might be one I should paper-trade? It is different when you realize it is real money - surprise, surprise! Just follow my rules as I have been doing to date - of course I will continue to pick some losers and others that go nowhere.
This share was picked by mistake because I was looking at an alphabetical list! Ignore.
Unite Group - price gapped up overnight beyond my price level to mid 180's. Those gains have now been retraced and price back to my buy level. However sell pressure in queue. Watch. Share continues to be sold off back it seems to its levels of yesterday which had been high 150's to low 160's. So it seems the gap has been taken where I lost my PR opportunity and now it is be reversed. Will not buy but continue to watch for learning.
In last hour would have made the PR and did note the opportunity however would not have made because of not likely to recover within the remaining time - as it happens it did but only just. I could have bought it with the idea of holding it to early next week as space for this open position. To think further about situations like this.
Traded so well this week can afford Friday off. Will watch one share though as much for continued learning. Rest of time if available will look at preparations towards setting up a broker account.
Halfords - meets most criteria. Price under usual recent level. Price rose steadily today but pretty much recovering yesterday's levels. Would consider up to 2.45. My PR certainly achievable.
Mapeley - meets most criteria. An incredible early morning spike! Buy up to £7.10. Double-stochastic! Second choice.
BlueBay Asset Management - stock trading beneath usual levels - most recent stochastic cross. First choice. Can gap overnight though. Without todays spike price was very steady and not yielding very much at all. This is characteristic of a number of recent trades. Most gap up retraces a gap down so if it gaps down overnight it may get retraced before I have a chance - but if not then a chance to buy low and wait! One to watch as much for learning. Buy in mid 180's would give a PR it usually exceeds but has not in a number of recent days. Be guided by queue too.
Greggs - a £30 odd share! Trading beneath usual levels - buy up to £31.10. Reluctance is that price needed though having been reached it is usually brief and whether I am able at this stage to react quickly enough. Again will watch for learning.
Dragon Oil - bought and sold to a profit within a few hours. Already met minimum for the day so can be even more conservative for other two shares!
JKX Oil & Gas - price fell back today below my buy point so bought. But queue indicates sell pressure so perhaps today I should have waited for that to reverse before buying. Bought too soon. Stop loss in place. On reflection the price increase yesterday was great and not too surprising that it has ran out of steam today - though also today is back to swimming in historical lows - nevertheless we are in a critical time and further lows may yet be to come. I could have foreseen this downward pressure based on queue dynamics and should have left alone. Then I would have one positive on the day whereas now I will have a positive and a negative and end neutral.
DTZ Holdings - can buy at a number of price points - had gapped up today but still at a level when could be bought. Currently sell pressure in queue. Watch. Very little activity currently - price not picking up - not positive that the gap will be covered and bounced within the trading day.
Yamaha Gold not available - explore why that is. A Canadian stock - not indicated by Sharescope. Be careful with this.
Wednesday has seen the FTSE lose ground so would expect less pickings.
JKX Oil & Gas - meets most criteria - not now so underbought. Climbed smoothly enough over the day. Closed at 2.33 would need to get to 2.40 to meet my requirement. Usually trades above that only in last 5 days as it traded under that. Noted also stochastic crossing and bigger than usual increase today backing that up. Buy pressure in the queue.
DTZ Holdings - as above. No action in the queue. Volume declined yet price increased. Lower down the Stochastic. Closed at £1.02 but most of that increase through the 90's at end of day - prior had been trading mid-eighties. When price has increased has tended to be sustained. Could therefore be bought at a number of price levels. Price tends to undulate in a predictable fashion - today's recent price will either then continue up or be a one-off-spike. Watch.
Dragon Oil - traded before with this share and failed to realize any profit. Is trading under price though some sell pressure in the queue but higher than current price. Had been trading in 150's during day only last hour or so it climbed into the sixties - might be running out of momentum. Watch. Buy in 150's.
Yamaha Gold - recently crossed stochastic. Under usual price range - in fact yesterday was all time lowest point! Low volumes - price today moved progressively upwards. No action in queue. First choice. Buy up to 3.60.
Talvivaara Mining Company - gapped overnight to £2.05 then rose to £2.20's before setting back at £2.10's. My buy level has been passed - should I wait to see if it retraces (unlikely) or buy at higher price or ignore?
Schroders - gapped up to £8.40 then continued rise up to £8.80 - so as predicted but again too late to take advantage due to overnight market. Also adds to the saying I have heard bulls at night, bears during the day.
Heritage Oil - bought at £1.79 and price climbed quickly! With trailing stop made me 6% double my requirement for all three shares for the day - nice.
Additionally Afren returned to the level I bought it at and even passed into 60's again - sold at 61 and made £200 - so a paper loss but actual profit. However this is an atypical share as I would not have bought it at the price I did - I only kept hold of it to make good my mistake for learning. In a real situation I might not get that opportunity.
Standard Chartered - again gapped overnight and passed my buy target - however all four shares I selected were correct and all met my percentage requirement - not just that but exceeded it!
Should I monitor the other three - may as well for learning - and my other positions are closed so I can reinvest. Have some interest in Schroders as though now at £9.00 it usually trades above this level and made £9.00 yesterday at peak. Monitor. However at 9 would need £9.27 and has not always achieved that recently. Schroders movements may be due also to the fact it has been added to the list of companies who cannot be short-selled. Note this also includes Standard Chartered! Schroder price now up to 9.10 at 1pm - there is buy pressure but my observation is that this is not a reliable indicator and the pressure is slight - I will observe towards learning. Share actually reached £9.30 but I would have been taking a punt on that. I could only purchase at levels identified and where passed share to be removed from watchlist. Only a few hours to days trade close so hardly unlikely any of these shares would drop to those level then recover to my percentage requirement!
Shroders - meets all criteria - lower on the Stochastic - trading beneath price of last few months. Rangy today but mainly due to closing price distortion of £9 on the day - most of day trading around £7 moving up to £8 in last hour of trade. Buy pressure in the queue both short and long. As the opportunity been taken away in the end of day trading shenanigans? Buy up to £7.50 if proceed.
Standard Chartered - higher up the Stochastic - more likely to be gapped? Trading below most recent levels. Volume declined but price went up. Rangy stock. Price increased consistently across the day from mid-11's to high 11's. Buy pressure in the queue - most sellers in the queue are waiting for higher levels with positions held up to over a month. If bought at 11.80 would need to sell at 12.15. All sellers in queue are wanting higher than this. The level of 12.15 has always been achieved every day for the last few months other than these last two days. Monitor early morning activity.
Heritage Oil - inbetweener on the stochastic. Price ranging recently and trading below recent levels. Price edged up on the day from £1.70 to £1.85 before dropping back below £1.80. Buy pressure in the queue but in terms of the spread short-term could drop. Buy up to £1.79.
Talvivaara Mining Company - an example of Stochastic crossing - buy up to £1.97 - buy pressure in queue. Cannot believe one indicator alone can point this - time will tell! - but certainly if alongside other indicators as here then it might be.
ITV - still trading above level required - buy pressure in queue which means price may not drop back to 36. Monitor.
Wincanton - percentage requirement reached in early morning trade - gapped up - now trading in low 200's having reached 214! Buy and sell now even in queue - do not buy but monitor.
WH Smith - another share that has gapped - so as with Wincanton my stock-pick was correct but closed market-practice has conspired to keep me out. Now trading in 350's having reached 360's. Again monitor but only buy up to 3.42. Pricing dropping back but unlikely to be reached.
Even ITV gapped up - I need to explore this further as this is causing my predictions to fail because I am not able to take advantage of the predicted rises.
Next batch of picks to include some more over-sold ones - have a mixture has suspicion those on way up stochastic are more likely to become gapped.
Wincanton - back on my radar - only last week netted me profit by noon! And meets criteria again. Need to be bought up to 1.94. More buy pressure in the queue. Doubt is that a few days in the last five it has not made the required profit level.
WH Smith - due to selling spree in general this share still to be considered - buy up to 3.42.
ITV - meets criteria. Price has been unusually rangy recently and beneath usual price range for last week. At this stage though I do need to consider the macro climate - there is selling fever currently so certainly no guarantee that any share will rally to even its usual lowest levels. Need to pay attention to news over the weekend in respect of the G7 meeting and other financial news items. It closed at 37 but that was high on the day - had been trading 35/6. If bought would need to be at that level. A penny at this level realises my requirement! Trades will move in quarters. Buy pressure in the queue. It should trend up at the beginning of the day but that is above my buying level - also those early pressures may be ironed out in the morning auction. Look to buy up to 36 subject to buy and sell dynamics.
Afren - FTSE fell 10% in first minute of trading - biggest falls this week in history of FTSE! Need to factor panic selling and rationale selling into my decisions. Share fell into 40's - rallying slightly into low 50's. What to do with this share? Have we hit the worse today or is the worse to come. Need to decide whether to hold or sell this share today. More buy pressure in queue but again if buyers are more calm and sellers not this may not make much difference. 9.37pm noted no sellers at all at the then current price - could have reached a bottom? No still bobbing about high-40's, low-50's.
WH Smith - more sellers than buyers marginally - price into mid 30's - continue to watch, review to buy hourly. Don't buy as price seems to have flat-lined.
Afren - range on day can be small, price though beneath recent prices and meets other criteria. Huge spread in queue but imagine the sell item was made in different circumstances - certainly not realistic currently - meaning buy pressure. Watch.
Headlam Group - huge buy in queue - likely to cause an early morning hiatus but then could subside. Should achieve the 3% I require. Watch.
Bloomsbury Publishing - meets criteria but price is peaky - to realise my requirement it would have to achieve a recent end of day high.
Wincanton - meets criteria. Is at bottom of recent price but doesn't always range on the day - my requirement has only been achieved twice in the last 6 trading days. Queue has a couple of sellers and no buyers...watch.
Will not buy any shares if I don't identify any that meet my criteria.
Playtech - Meets most criteria - a lot of buyers in waiting - quite a spread though! Needs to make about 13p to make 3% - has done that for last 5 days. The queue suggests a very clear buying opportunity but concerns over liquidity of stock. Also maybe overall overbought.
Legal & General - price fell marginally today - volatile share in terms of day price ranging, some buy pressure in the queue. Would need to make a price it has not reached end of day for last three days.
Both I will watch and both are interesting in terms of learning. Will watch Playtech's early trade first then join L&G after the early morning shenanigans.
Eurasian Natural Resource Corporation - Meets all criteria. Buy sell pressure end of day was 5.49 to 5.60 with buy more but that could be end of day orders. Noted a possible multi-billion dollar loan was not made to this company - ambivalent whether that is a positive or negative in these frozen-credit times.
Nighthawk Energy - meets criteria too. Volume though much smaller - buy pressure favours it over ENRC. Needs just one and half penny to get the 3% required. I am tempted to buy this share just to observe the dynamics of buy and sell of less actively traded shares - easier or more difficult to read than more actively traded shares? I would speculate that the effects of slippage are diminished which for a novice trader like myself protecting smaller margins makes such shares value-added. As ever only way to find out is to observe and learn.
Xstrata - continued sell pressure though end of day was buy pressure but that could just be end of day effects. Less trading volume than day before and share price declined. I would need the price to reach about 18.41 Friday to justify holding the share another trading day. Noted big aftermarket buy orders down at 16.00 - with expectation of increase? Though I would not have been aware of this when making decision about 2.30pm. Price was 18+ on 1.10 so could return Friday. A number of orders have been placed low but equally a lot of high sell orders. Currently more buy orders so to get them filled they will ultimately need to raise their offers.
The decline in price is backed up by the sell pressure which is at odds with my TA. I cannot dismiss the TA in itself but it is becoming more regular - I am wondering if some of the signals such as Stochastic are more for trend and in terms of next day I need to focus further up (20-30) where buying is underway? Test this out. Decision is to hold share to sell out by recovering commission - so wait for price to recover to about 17.45. If not then will have to take some loss but less than stop loss. If there is sustained buy pressure I will stick with it if it rises about this level but will sell as soon as drops again. Will also look to purchase another stock.
HBOS - noted decline in trading volume 2.10 yet biggest climbing share of the day. Stochastic buy signal triggered and released! Closing price 1.70. Buy as low as 1.63 - concern any price lower may not recover on the day. Only need about 5p profit per share to make percentage requirement. Will watch buy and sell pressures to determine best exit point. End of day pressure is downward but would need to see situation around 9.00am after the end and start of day frenzies have subsided.
This has priced up overnight. It closed on 17.16 and I was looking to buy based on 3% rise to 17.70 ish but price has gone to 18.45 though has fallen back to 18.20 ish. Is it worth watching now? May still watch the price feed for the sake of learning.
Xstrata announced not to buy Lonmin at this time - I thought this would cause sell pressure on the shares but according to news item likely to cause buy pressure and sell pressure to Lonmin. Uncertainty is removed and it may now return to previous value. Continue to watch.
Bought at 17.37 as beginning to rise again - though subsequently dropped - note there is more sell pressure on this so perhaps I should have left alone until buy pressure (real as oppose to temporary upswing) kicked in? It is all learning and I will stick with this share for a day or two as I believe under-priced and will go up - when rather than if. It is fascinating and illuminating watching the price-feed in realtime!
Also note that markets react to rumour not news so would have priced up prior - as indeed upswing shows - before pricing back down. At 3.45pm price has dropped below 17! As sell pressure was indicating!
Ended down on previous day's close but with more buy pressure - not sure though whether that is an end of day effect - will watch opening trade tomorrow by way of learning. No reason why should buy at day start and sell toward day end - as long as transactions are within about 24 working hours of each best time to buy and sell is to watch and transact accordingly.
Had I stuck with sell pressure I could have bought for less than £17.00. But still early days as I don't know yet from experience whether the temporary upward spike usually then resorts to buy/sell pressure trend - watch and learn!
Xstrata - under-performing - likely due to uncertainties around takeover of Lonmin. This looks now as if it could go ahead with a decision needed by 2.10. Share under bought. Today price went up despite less interest than previous day - suggests increasing buyer interest.
Question is whether if price bounce occurs will it be Wednesday or Thursday (or even Friday!).
My 3% requirement is eminently achievable - however stop loss could bounce me out of the trade. Issue of managing entry and exits using Level II feed. One option would be to buy Wednesday and watch - would need 6% bounce to justify over 2 days and 9% over three days - which I feel is quite achievable.
Decision to watch with view to buy - based on a combination of Technical Analysis and Fundamentals
Columbia Banking System - due to pending decisions regarding US Fed bank bailout and cooling toward it in general do not expect a rally and so do not expect this share to make 3% required. Not even sure it will rise due to downward pressure on Banking stocks today following further takeovers in the US, UK and Europe.
Columbia Banking System inc - is under-bought, volumes declined today and price increased. Clearly in a volatile sector - there could be a rally Monday if 'bailout' this weekend finalised by the US Congress. But even if not and more uncertainty there is upside in this share. Some concern though that my percentage requirement would take share beyond most recent price levels. Only buy depending on weekend news-stories.
Laura Ashley - meets all criteria and with good fundamentals - at least in terms of reported profits. However its UK retail trade is declining over the year.
British Polythene Industries - meets criteria too - even greater reduction in volume than Laura Ashley and increased price. Have some doubts about it realising 3% based on recent price levels.
Anglo Pacific Group - similar to BPI but with added that more likely to realise 3% increase.
Decision - buy APF subject to early morning prices at about £1.60 per share.
Dragon Oil PLC - closed down a penny. Opened £2.35 but after opening fun and games bought in at £2.25 but closed out at £2.24 - did reach £2.30 briefly. Even had I realised that I would not have realised my percentage requirement. This share satisfied all my criteria but my prediction was wrong - this could be the 30% that tend to be anyway or it could mean I need to further refine my criteria. I will continue with my current criteria but make use too of Chaikin. Clearly at this stage I cannot give up on a criteria based on one loss. Nevertheless when I have made a profit they have not been great and further refinement is needed.
Clarkson PLC - watch for learning as meets criteria but several days on trot and a day or two past stochastic may mean running out of steam. Same for Alfren PLC.
Melrose PLC - price dropped today but testing solely one criteria which is that Chaikin moved up against this fall.
Cluff Gold plc - Sell - stock finished down on the day despite rallies elsewhere! However it rose over the day but also fell the previous night - I would have then purchased at this lowest price and would have made £365.80 a more than satisfactory amount for a day's trading. However with the overnight loss would I have gone ahead with the purchase?
However I realised I moved into the purchase of this stock too quickly and on consideration would not have purchased this stock due to its current price volatility - I profited today but that was as much my good fortune and I cannot of course rely on that.
Do I think Financials will continue to rally or enthusiasm will dampen over the weekend?
Petrofac Ltd - price stable, under-bought and trending upwards - reservation is fundamentals reaction to Oil in the short-term could pull this share back. Monitor over weekend commodities situation.
Toledo Mining - price closed as opened with only a ha'penny rise. A day with no profit and indeed slight loss due to commission.
Though my share picks aren't proving to be disasters in respect of price drops they are all netting very little income. I need to either apply my selections more rigorously and/or refine my parameters.
I am wondering if commencing searching via highest daily price rise is the best option? If not though, what?
Aquarius Platinum - meets criteria other than quite volatile. Mining is a bullish sector though. Concerns about Zimbabwe's political rather than economic involvement in companies investing and mining in their country. UBS raised assessment from Neutral to Buy. Watch.
Commercial Group Properties PLC - meets a lot of criteria - no News items though so not sure about driver. Buy due to volume change in relation to price rise.
Though my share picks aren't proving to be disasters in respect of price drops they are all netting very little income. I need to either apply my selections more rigorously and/or refine my parameters.
I am wondering if commencing searching via highest daily price rise is the best option? If not though, what?
Aquarius Platinum - meets criteria other than quite volatile. Mining is a bullish sector though. Concerns about Zimbabwe's political rather than economic involvement in companies investing and mining in their country. UBS raised assessment from Neutral to Buy. Watch.
Commercial Group Properties PLC - meets a lot of criteria - no News items though so not sure about driver. Buy due to volume change in relation to price rise.
UNITE Group PLC - noted significant decline in volume yet price rise - suggest most of activity was buying - but equally declining activity could signify declining interest.
Decision is to watch and buy Steppe Cement though as said not fully confident in this either but a chance to test an indicator - which is the luxury of paper trading.
Decision is to watch and buy Steppe Cement though as said not fully confident in this either but a chance to test an indicator - which is the luxury of paper trading.
JKX Oil & Gas PLC - this share is trending up along with increased activity and stochastic suggesting a few more trading days at least with the buyers upper hand. Tempted to buy - certainly will watch. Also in a vigorous sector Oil & Gas alongside a decline in Oil commodity value. However does have a small venture in Georgia and need to be mindful of the conflict with Russia escalating which could have a negative impact. Think it would be wiser to leave this share alone currently with a feeling the wider market may have similar sentiments - certainly would either sell or hold rather than buy.
Steppe Cement Ltd - I have a feeling to buy this however not quite clear what is driving its price currently. Will wait further stock selections Sunday and if no buys are found I think I will go with this one to test the indicators I am using in the face of any seeming driving fundamentals.
Steppe Cement Ltd - I have a feeling to buy this however not quite clear what is driving its price currently. Will wait further stock selections Sunday and if no buys are found I think I will go with this one to test the indicators I am using in the face of any seeming driving fundamentals.
Smallbone meets a number of criteria including sector trending up. It provides services to the luxury end of the consumer market - are they then recession proof? Feeling is I should watch rather than buy.
Andes Energia meets many criteria but still I feel a watch due to recent increase in activity increasing price which is not always a guarantee of continued ascent. Some recent news activity but a Peruvian mine and in Spanish!
EcoSecurities activity declined again along with a price rise but wonder if could get gapped out over the weekend - on the other hand could continue to trend through the top of a Bollinger curve.
I don't feel confident about any purchases today but will do further research over the coming weekend.
Andes Energia meets many criteria but still I feel a watch due to recent increase in activity increasing price which is not always a guarantee of continued ascent. Some recent news activity but a Peruvian mine and in Spanish!
EcoSecurities activity declined again along with a price rise but wonder if could get gapped out over the weekend - on the other hand could continue to trend through the top of a Bollinger curve.
I don't feel confident about any purchases today but will do further research over the coming weekend.
This was the other share that I may have bought but having already bought the aforementioned Regal Petroleum I have added this to my watchlist.
This company operates successfully in the Carbon Footprint industry which is most certainly a key industry for the 21st Century.
This company operates successfully in the Carbon Footprint industry which is most certainly a key industry for the 21st Century.
I considered there could be imminent profit in this share with expansion of the company announced but nothing to indicate an immediate buy. I decided to watch.
The next trading day saw a high price which would have netted 3% though closing price finished lower than previous trading day.
The next trading day saw a high price which would have netted 3% though closing price finished lower than previous trading day.
This met a number of my criteria but not all.
I decided to watch this share. It transpires had I bought I would have made 40p per share! However there was nothing I saw that indicated to me I should buy so I am pleased that I shortlisted such a share but will need to study further to see if I overlooked any other buy signs.
I subsequently noted that price had gone up the previous day coupled with a drop in volume which is a sign that the buyers are edging the sellers.
I decided to watch this share. It transpires had I bought I would have made 40p per share! However there was nothing I saw that indicated to me I should buy so I am pleased that I shortlisted such a share but will need to study further to see if I overlooked any other buy signs.
I subsequently noted that price had gone up the previous day coupled with a drop in volume which is a sign that the buyers are edging the sellers.
Believe there is 3% potential though due to trend and overall read of the chart decided just to watch.
Proved to be a wise decision because share is very stable with little price movement.
Proved to be a wise decision because share is very stable with little price movement.
ContentFilm PLC (LSE:CFL)
I was interested in this stock as it met a number of my selection criteria, nevertheless price was volatile so I decided to add it to my watchlist.I subsequently decided to ignore such shares because their price is so low - penny shares - though gains are higher for penny movements, much higher in fact than my required 3%, the losses are greater too and have a greater likelihood of triggering stop losses and bouncing me out of the trade.
